currency-analysis

## Defaults | Parameter | Default Value | Rationale | |-----------|---------------|-----------| | lookback_quarters | 8 | Covers multi-year currency cycles | | key_indicators | rate_differential, current_account, PPP, reserves | Standard FX valuation framework | ## Preflight Run canonical pre-flight per `contracts/preflight.md`. Propagate X-Agentii-Trace per `contracts/x-agentii-trace-header.md`. ## Data Source Priority 1. Knowledge entries (L1 currency frameworks) -> 2. search_by_analogue(event_type: currency-peg-break) -> 3. Real-time data ## Methodology ### Retrieval Scope structured_only ### Retrieval Strategy Query knowledge entries for currency frameworks; query search_by_analogue for currency crises; supplement with real-time data. ### Temporal Scope See frontmatter temporal_scope block. ### Tool Allowlist See frontmatter allowed_tools. ### Protocol 1. Currency Regime Classification — floating/managed float/pegged/dollarized 2. Fundamental Drivers — rate differential, current account, PPP, terms of trade 3. Framework Application — carry trade, PPP valuation, central bank divergence 4. Analogue Retrieval — past currency crises and regime breaks ## Output File `{ticker}/{YYYY-MM-DD_HHMM}_currency-analysis_{affix}.md` ## Output Structure 1. **Executive Summary** — key findings in 2-3 sentences 2. **Core Analysis** — applied frameworks with specific evidence 3. **Quantitative Indicators** — key metrics and benchmarks 4. **Historical Analogues** — matched cas...