macro-regime

## Defaults | Parameter | Default Value | Rationale | |-----------|---------------|-----------| | lookback_quarters | 8 | 2yr captures cycle inflection while remaining responsive | | regime_indicators | yield_curve, credit_spreads, PMI, VIX, fed_posture | Standard macro regime detection set | | probability_weighting | bear/base/bull | Three-scenario framework per institutional standard | ## Preflight Run the canonical pre-flight sequence: MCP health probe, ticker resolution, workspace style override, memory load, and coverage check. See `contracts/preflight.md`. Propagate X-Agentii-Trace header per `contracts/x-agentii-trace-header.md`. ## Data Source Priority (mandatory order) 1. Knowledge entries FIRST — query gold.knowledge_entries for L1 regime frameworks 2. Historical analogues SECOND — query search_by_analogue(market_regime) for matching cases 3. Real-time data LAST — supplemental only ## Methodology ### Retrieval Scope structured_only ### Retrieval Strategy 1. Query knowledge entries for L1 frameworks via search_knowledge_entries 2. Query search_by_analogue for historical regime precedents 3. Supplement with real-time data ### Temporal Scope See frontmatter temporal_scope block. ### Tool Allowlist See frontmatter allowed_tools. ### Protocol 1. Regime Detection — classify current macro environment using yield curve, credit spreads, PMI, VIX, Fed posture 2. Framework Application — apply relevant L1 framework from references/knowledge-frameworks.md 3. Analogue ...