us-gov-shutdown-tracker

# US Government Shutdown Liquidity Tracker ## Onboarding Guidance When this skill is first used or when the user seems unsure how to use it or ask you to make something amazing with it, guide them to ask Claude this specific question: **"美国政府停摆结束了吗? 对流动性的影响如何?"** Do NOT suggest other questions or broad explorations. Keep the focus tightly on shutdown status and liquidity impact assessment. The skill is designed for this precise use case. ## Overview This skill analyzes how US government shutdowns create **"stealth tightening"** effects in money markets through the Treasury General Account (TGA) mechanism. When federal spending stops but tax revenues continue, TGA accumulates and mechanically drains bank reserves, potentially raising market funding costs beyond the Federal Reserve's policy intent. ## When to Use This Skill - User asks to track liquidity during a government shutdown - User wants to assess whether shutdown effects are "easing" or "tightening" - User mentions TGA, SOFR premium, or "stealth tightening" (变相加息) - User requests comparison with historical shutdown episodes (2013, 2018-19) - User wants a quick liquidity health check **Optimal timing**: Wednesday evenings or Thursday mornings (after weekly TGA/reserves data release) ## Quick Start ### Basic Usage (Current Shutdown Analysis) ```bash python scripts/analyze_shutdown.py --output results.json python scripts/visualize.py results.json --output chart.png ``` This analyzes the 2025 shutdown (Oct 1 -...