decision-enginelisted
Install: claude install-skill varunk130/pm-copilots
# Decision Engine
Apply four analytical frameworks to any product decision, then synthesize into a single prioritized recommendation with confidence scoring and pre-mortem analysis.
## Output
Save to `outputs/decision-[topic]-[YYYY-MM-DD].md`
## When to Use
- Quarterly prioritization with competing initiatives
- Ship / iterate / sunset decisions for features
- Build vs. buy vs. partner evaluations
- Any decision where you need structured reasoning, not gut feel
## What You'll Get
| Framework | What It Evaluates |
|-----------|-------------------|
| **Impact × Confidence Matrix** | Revenue impact weighted by execution certainty |
| **Strategic Alignment** | Weighted scoring against company goals |
| **Second-Order Effects** | Downstream consequences (positive and negative) |
| **Pre-Mortem Analysis** | "It's December and this failed - what went wrong?" |
Plus:
- **Synthesized Recommendation** with confidence score
- **Actionable Next Steps** with owners and dates
- **Risk Register** with mitigation strategies
## Process
### Step 1: Define the Decision
I'll ask:
> "What decision are you facing? List the options you're considering (2-4 options work best). Include any context about constraints, timeline, or strategic priorities."
### Step 2: Impact × Confidence Matrix
For each option, I'll score:
- **Impact** (1-10): Revenue potential, user value, market differentiation
- **Confidence** (1-10): Technical feasibility, team capability, timeline certainty
- **Weighted Score