analyze-stocklisted

# Analyze Stock — 10-Step Top-Down Master Framework The job: deliver a fund-manager-grade analysis that connects **macro context → year theme → sector position → individual thesis → entry plan**. Every claim has concrete evidence. Every recommendation has size + reason. ## Prime Directive Never analyze a stock in isolation. **A great stock in a bad macro window is still a sell.** Always start with macro, end with sizing. ## The 10 Steps (run in order) ### Step 1 — Macro backdrop & event calendar (NEW: MANDATORY) Before touching the stock, ask: - **What's the regime today?** (risk-on melt-up / chop / late-cycle / risk-off / bear) - **What macro events in the next 30 days could move this stock?** - Fed meetings, FOMC minutes, CPI, NFP - **Trade summits** (Trump-Xi 5/14-15, G20) - **BOJ meetings** (carry trade trigger) - **OPEC** (oil/inflation) - **Major regulatory** (FTC, SEC, China MOFCOM) - **Geopolitical hotspots** (Taiwan, Iran/Hormuz, Russia) **Tools:** - `WebSearch`: "[stock] macro impact [next event]" e.g., "NVDA Trump-Xi summit impact" - `WebSearch`: "Fed meeting [next month]", "BOJ meeting [next month]" **Output**: 1 paragraph naming the regime + 3 bullet macro events that affect THIS stock. ### Step 2 — Year theme alignment Identify which **annual narrative** this stock fits. Common 2026 themes: - **K-shape divergence** (winners up, losers crushed within sectors) - **AI = factory/capex mode** (hyperscalers buy compute like factories buy machines)