think-linear-model-aggregationlisted
Install: claude install-skill product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills
<!-- thinking-framework-skills | https://github.com/product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills | Apache-2.0 -->
# Linear-Model Aggregation
For a judgment you make over and over - screening candidates, scoring leads, triaging tickets - holistic expert intuition is unreliable mainly because it is inconsistent: the same expert scores the same case differently on different days. A simple mechanical rule removes that: pick a few predictive cues, weight them (even equal weights work), score each case, combine by a fixed formula, and apply it identically every time. The robust, counterintuitive result is that such rules match or beat holistic judgment, because consistency beats brilliance applied erratically. The output is a **scoring model**. Two honest limits: it is for *repeated* judgments (not one-off strategic choices), and it is only as good as its cues.
## When to Use
- The same kind of evaluative/predictive judgment recurs (screening, lead/deal scoring, triage, prioritizing a queue).
- Gut calls on these are inconsistent or overconfident.
- A few cues with real predictive signal exist.
## When NOT to Use
- A genuinely one-off decision among a few options (use `decision-option-review`).
- No real predictive cues or data exist - do not invent cues and weights (false precision).
- High-stakes judgments about individuals (hiring, lending, justice) where mechanical scoring raises fairness/legal/ethical issues - flag these, do not silently automate.
- When the point is a si