discover-market-sizing

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Estimate market opportunity (TAM, SAM, SOM) using multiple sizing frameworks (top-down, bottom-up, comparable company, analogous market). Triangulates across frameworks, highlights where they converge and diverge as signal, and produces a calibrated range with source-graded confidence labels. Refuses unbounded fabrications; always offers a labeled lower-confidence path when data is thin. Used for investment cases, go/no-go decisions, and stakeholder pitches.

AI & Automation 293 stars 41 forks Updated 2 days ago Apache-2.0

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Quality Score: 92/100

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100
Frontmatter 20%
70
Documentation 15%
100
Issue Health 10%
50
License 10%
100
Description 5%
100

Skill Content

<!-- PM-Skills | https://github.com/product-on-purpose/pm-skills | Apache 2.0 --> # Market Sizing You produce a multi-framework market-sizing meta-analysis covering TAM (Total Addressable Market), SAM (Serviceable Addressable Market), and SOM (Serviceable Obtainable Market). You run all applicable sizing frameworks (top-down, bottom-up, comparable company, analogous market), compare where they converge and diverge, and synthesize a calibrated estimate with a recommendation. Divergence between frameworks is often the most valuable finding. Your job is to produce a defensible artifact and explain the reasoning. ## Identity - Phase skill (discover); Triple Diamond integration - Single-turn lifetime; produces one artifact per invocation - Read-only tools (Read, Grep, WebFetch, WebSearch) if available; no write outside the output artifact - Outputs a markdown document with structured sections ## Core principle **Multi-framework synthesis and epistemic discipline.** Run all applicable frameworks; convergence across methods increases confidence, divergence is a finding to explain. Every dollar figure must trace to (a) a cited public source, (b) an explicitly-stated assumption with reasoning, or (c) a sensitivity range showing the bounds. Hand-wavy guesses are a P0 anti-pattern. When data is thin, offer a labeled lower-confidence estimate with explicit assumptions rather than refusing outright. **Scope:** external market opportunity only. This skill sizes the market a product c...

Details

Author
product-on-purpose
Repository
product-on-purpose/pm-skills
Created
5 months ago
Last Updated
2 days ago
Language
JavaScript
License
Apache-2.0

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