judgment-drilllisted
Install: claude install-skill orchimada/judgment-gym
# Judgment Drill
A daily training session for product judgment. Five stations, ~25 minutes, built from real cases with public numbers.
The design principle behind every station: **commit to an answer before seeing the ground truth.** Experience accumulates on its own; judgment only accumulates when a prediction gets scored. Never reveal an answer in the same message as the question — that turns training into reading.
## The five stations
| # | Station | Trains | Box |
|---|---------|--------|-----|
| 1 | Fermi estimate | Reasoning to a number from priors | 4 min |
| 2 | Stock or flow | Diagnosing the shape of a change | 4 min |
| 3 | Third-order effects | Consequence chains at scale | 6 min |
| 4 | Reverse the memo | Reconstructing strategic logic | 8 min |
| 5 | Go problem | Sente/gote, urgency, whole-board sight | 3 min |
Read `references/stations.md` for the full brief, generation recipe and grading rubric for each. Read it every session — do not run stations from memory of this table.
## Session flow
**1. Load state.** Read the log (see *Persistence* below). Note: current level, the running score, which cases and Go concepts have already been used, and any weakness flagged in the last review. Never repeat a case, a company, or a Go concept that appears in the log.
**2. Source the cases.** Search the web for fresh material. Every case must satisfy the verification bar in `references/sourcing.md`: a real number a real person could check today. Prefer small and obscu