earnings-watchlisted
Install: claude install-skill luiseiman/dotforge
# Earnings Watch
Fast-turnaround post-earnings analysis focused on thesis impact. NOT a full initiation report — assumes you already know the company.
## Step 1: Data Collection
**CRITICAL: Training data is outdated. ALWAYS search for current data.**
1. Write down today's date
2. Web search: "[Company] latest earnings results [current year]"
3. Verify earnings release date is within last 3 months
4. Collect: earnings release, 10-Q/10-K, call transcript, guidance
**For CEDEARs:** fetch the underlying US company's earnings, then calculate impact on CEDEAR price considering CCL.
## Step 2: Beat/Miss Analysis
| Metric | Consensus | Actual | Delta | Beat/Miss |
|--------|-----------|--------|-------|-----------|
| Revenue | | | $ / % | |
| EPS | | | $ / % | |
| [Key metric 1] | | | | |
| [Key metric 2] | | | | |
Lead with the headline: "AAPL Q3: Revenue beat by $2.1B (+3%), EPS beat by $0.12 (+8%)"
## Step 3: Key Takeaways
3-5 bullet points, prioritized by thesis relevance:
- What was NEW (not rehashing known info)
- What management said about forward guidance
- Any change in capital allocation (buybacks, dividends, capex)
- Segment/geography surprises
## Step 4: Thesis Impact
Map results to thesis pillars:
| Pillar | Pre-Earnings Status | Post-Earnings Impact | Updated Status |
|--------|--------------------|--------------------|---------------|
| | | Strengthened/Weakened/Unchanged | |
**Verdict:** Thesis intact / Thesis weakened / Thesis broken
## Step 5: Estimat