premortem

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Challenge a rollout plan with one fresh judge before implementation; identify what could make it fail. Not for finished-code judgment. Triggers: "one judge", "challenge this plan".

AI & Automation 446 stars 41 forks Updated today Apache-2.0

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Skill Content

# Premortem Premortem is an optional plan-challenge strategy. It asks one fresh context to identify concrete ways the resolved bead or caller intent could fail before implementation. It is not part of the required RPI sequence and does not authorize readiness. [Plan's shared challenge method](../plan/references/challenge.md) owns optional exchange, independence and stopping rules. Premortem owns the failure checks below; invoke it when that broader examination is requested. ## The first check: who verifies, and are they fresh? Before any technical risk, test the plan's EVIDENCE SHAPE: for every unit of work, who verifies it, and is the verifying context distinct from the authoring context? A plan whose closure step is "the implementer runs its own tests and closes" contains no independent judgment anywhere — self-graded green is the classic false-done, and it outranks any single technical risk because it silently converts every other failure into a shipped one. > Measured 2026-08-04, probe `premortem-self-validation` (gpt-5.6-luna, N=2, > directional): without this doctrine loaded the producer named the planted > self-validation flaw in 1/2 runs; with it loaded, 2/2. Ledger: > `evals/skill-probes/LEDGER.md`. That row is `LEGACY-UNVERIFIED` under the > current capture contract — replay cannot establish producer, configuration, > or reproducibility — so treat this skill as unmeasured until a tier-2 probe > under the current contract re-establishes it. ## The second check: ...

Details

Author
boshu2
Repository
boshu2/agentops
Created
10 months ago
Last Updated
today
Language
Go
License
Apache-2.0

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Run a premortem on a plan, launch, product, hire, strategy, partnership, pricing change, or high-stakes decision by assuming it failed 6 months from now and working backward to identify why. Use when the user says "premortem this", "premortem my", "run a premortem", "what could kill this", "future-proof this", "stress test this plan", "what am I missing here", "find the blind spots", "what could go wrong", "am I missing anything", "poke holes in this", "where will this break", or "devil's advocate this" in relation to a concrete plan or commitment. Do not use for simple factual questions, ordinary draft feedback, vague ideas with no plan yet, or LLM Council requests.

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Use before committing to a non-trivial plan, design, architecture, migration, launch, or irreversible decision — especially when momentum or optimism is high and nobody has named what could go wrong. Triggers when you're about to start executing a plan, when stakes are high or the decision is hard to reverse, or when the user asks to stress-test, pressure-test, or sanity-check an approach. Not for generating ideas (that's brainstorming).

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